Novorizontino vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
70.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.9%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
INT
1 - 0
NOV
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 1
NOV
60%
22%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
PPE
16%
22%
62%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 2
FLO
61%
23%
17%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
FLO
1 - 1
NOV
28%
27%
46%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SAO
4 - 0
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
INT
0 - 4
SAO
9%
19%
72%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
BOT
82%
14%
4%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 1
FLA
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
17%
24%
59%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |