Série D Brazil . 1/16
Global 3-1
Novorizontino vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
NOV
4 - 2
AME
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
UBE
3 - 1
NOV
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
NOV
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
ITA
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
UBE
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 2
ITU
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
MAC
18%
24%
57%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
MAC
3 - 1
URT
54%
24%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
URT
1 - 2
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 1
ESP
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |