Novorizontino vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 0
PPE
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
NOV
4 - 0
ITU
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
COR
2 - 1
NOV
78%
16%
6%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 2
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
NOV
53%
24%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
FFL
0 - 0
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ECP
1 - 0
FFL
12%
18%
70%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FFL
1 - 1
JEC
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 2
FFL
45%
25%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
FFL
3 - 0
HER
74%
18%
8%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |