noscript image

Série C Brazil. Group B, Matchday 1

Novorizontino Figueirense
33 ELO 44
47% Tilt -31%
4009º General ELO ranking 932º
207º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
62.3%
Novorizontino
22.3%
Draw
15.4%
Figueirense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
Novorizontino
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.4%
Win probability
Figueirense
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Points and table prediction

Novorizontino
Their league position
Figueirense
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
10
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ypiranga FC
19
28
21%
Novorizontino
19
28
21%
Criciuma
17
26
16%
Ituano
16
25
15%
Botafogo SP
16
25
15%
Mirassol
10
19
15%
Figueirense
10
19
15%
Paraná
8
17
17%
EC São José
8
17
17%
Oeste
10º
3
12
10º
46%
Expected probabilities
Novorizontino
Figueirense
Next phase
70% 22%
Mid-table
26% 51%
Relegation
4% 26%

ELO progression

Figueirense
FFL
Novorizontino
NOV
Ituano
ITU
Oeste
OES
Criciuma
CRI
EC São José
ECS
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Novorizontino
Novorizontino
1%
X%
2%
ELO NOV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 May. 2021
NOV
Novorizontino
1 - 0
Figueirense
FFL
39%
28%
33%
437 750 -313 +3
21 May. 2021
NOV
Novorizontino
2 - 0
Ponte Preta
PPE
22%
24%
54%
403 1555 -1152 +2
18 May. 2021
NOV
Novorizontino
4 - 0
Ituano
ITU
47%
27%
26%
402 385 17 +1
09 May. 2021
COR
Corinthians
2 - 1
Novorizontino
NOV
82%
12%
6%
402 2070 1668 0
07 May. 2021
NOV
Novorizontino
2 - 2
Botafogo SP
BOT
38%
28%
35%
402 730 -328 0

Matches

Figueirense
Figueirense
1%
X%
2%
ELO FFL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 May. 2021
NOV
Novorizontino
1 - 0
Figueirense
FFL
39%
28%
33%
750 437 -313 -3
22 Apr. 2021
FFL
Figueirense
0 - 0
Marcílio Dias
MAR
72%
17%
11%
1265 352 913 0
18 Apr. 2021
ECP
EC Próspera
1 - 0
Figueirense
FFL
33%
27%
39%
1266 798 -468 -1
11 Apr. 2021
FFL
Figueirense
1 - 1
Joinville
JEC
72%
17%
11%
1266 349 917 0
04 Apr. 2021
BRU
Brusque
2 - 2
Figueirense
FFL
30%
27%
44%
1267 420 -847 0