Série D Brazil Eliminatorias. Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
Novorizontino vs Fast Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
FAS
0 - 1
NOV
14%
22%
64%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
NOV
4 - 0
GOI
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 1
NOV
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
NOV
3 - 0
CAS
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 0
NOV
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
FAS
0 - 1
NOV
14%
22%
64%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
FAS
1 - 0
GLO
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
GLO
2 - 1
FAS
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
FAS
1 - 1
MOT
36%
27%
37%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 2
FAS
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |