Novorizontino vs Americano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
UBE
3 - 1
NOV
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
NOV
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
ITA
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
UBE
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
AME
2 - 2
NOV
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2018 |
AME
2 - 3
SER
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
AME
2 - 1
ITA
34%
26%
39%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
UBE
2 - 3
AME
63%
22%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
AME
1 - 2
UBE
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |