Novohrad Lučenec vs Bardejov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
13º
13º
41
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
54.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novohrad Lučenec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SPI
3 - 0
LUC
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 1
NAM
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SNI
2 - 0
LUC
33%
23%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 1
BAN
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
POP
0 - 1
LUC
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bardejov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
LIP
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ORA
6 - 0
BAR
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
5 - 1
SVI
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GIR
1 - 2
BAR
8%
15%
77%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 0
STK
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |