Novohrad Lučenec vs Baník Kalinovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
13º
13º
30
10º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
54.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 44.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novohrad Lučenec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
POP
0 - 1
LUC
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 1
TES
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VRA
2 - 0
LUC
62%
21%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LUC
0 - 0
SOB
51%
23%
27%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LUC
2 - 2
FIL
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Baník Kalinovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ORA
5 - 1
BAN
71%
18%
12%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 0
SVI
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 10
DAC
4%
13%
83%
|
29 | 77 | 48 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
GIR
1 - 1
BAN
22%
24%
54%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 1
STK
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |