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Super Copa Gaúcha. 1ra Fase, Matchday 6

Novo Hamburgo vs Sapucaiense analysis

Novo Hamburgo Sapucaiense
34 ELO 46
31% Tilt 122%
4203º General ELO ranking 2212º
237º Country ELO ranking 112º
ELO win probability
22.5%
Novo Hamburgo
18.2%
Draw
59.3%
Sapucaiense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
Novo Hamburgo
1.59
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.2%
59.3%
Win probability
Sapucaiense
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.6%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
17%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%