Novo Hamburgo vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
NOV
1 - 1
LON
25%
28%
46%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
BRA
1 - 2
NOV
75%
17%
9%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
CRI
2 - 0
NOV
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
NOV
1 - 1
AVA
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
NOV
1 - 1
JUV
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
JUV
1 - 1
LON
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1986 |
JUV
1 - 1
PIN
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
BRA
0 - 0
JUV
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
LON
1 - 1
JUV
61%
20%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -5 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
NOV
1 - 1
JUV
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |