Novigrad vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
HAJ
0 - 1
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 2
NKD
29%
29%
43%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
HNS
1 - 1
NOV
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
ZAG
25%
29%
46%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
NKR
2 - 1
NOV
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
NKV
2 - 0
KUS
58%
23%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
NKV
2 - 2
HAJ
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
NKV
1 - 0
NKD
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
NKV
2 - 0
SOL
38%
29%
34%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
NKV
3 - 3
NSM
24%
22%
54%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |