Novi Pazar vs Rad Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
42.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
5 - 0
NPA
82%
13%
6%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
NPA
2 - 1
ZEM
65%
23%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 3
NPA
31%
29%
41%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
NPA
2 - 0
BAS
44%
28%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
BEA
1 - 0
NPA
29%
29%
43%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Rad Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
RAD
3 - 0
MET
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
OLY
1 - 1
RAD
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
RAD
0 - 1
OLY
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
TPE
1 - 3
RAD
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
RAD
6 - 0
TPE
65%
20%
16%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |