Novese vs Imperia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
LAV
0 - 0
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
NOV
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
FOL
36%
28%
35%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BOG
1 - 1
NOV
49%
23%
27%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
TRE
50%
24%
27%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Imperia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PRO
0 - 5
SES
19%
22%
59%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PRO
0 - 7
BOR
20%
24%
56%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
PRO
75%
16%
10%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PRO
0 - 2
SAN
15%
21%
64%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
GOZ
5 - 3
PRO
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |