Novese vs AS Bra analysis


28	ELO	28
-13.7%	Tilt	0.5%
19659º	General ELO ranking	5135º
507º	Country ELO ranking	143º
ELO win probability

45.3%

Novese

24.5%

Draw

30.2%

AS Bra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

45.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%

24.5%

Draw

0-0

5.6%

1-1

11.5%

2-2

5.9%

3-3

1.3%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.5%

30.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

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ELO progression

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