Noves vs Sagreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 3
NOV
32%
22%
46%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
BAR
20%
22%
59%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MEN
2 - 1
NOV
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 3
TAL
50%
21%
29%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 3
SCR
54%
21%
26%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sagreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SAG
6 - 0
TAL
69%
18%
13%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 2
SAG
26%
24%
51%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SAG
5 - 0
ASA
81%
14%
6%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
SAG
18%
22%
59%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SAG
1 - 1
FUE
57%
22%
21%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |