Tercera Division Comunitat Valenciana. Jor. 14

Novelda CF vs Paterna CF analysis

Novelda CF Paterna CF
39 ELO 25
-15.6% Tilt -11.6%
13115º General ELO ranking 11184º
1716º Country ELO ranking 687º
ELO win probability
72.3%
Novelda CF
17.9%
Draw
9.8%
Paterna CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
Novelda CF
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.8%
Win probability
Paterna CF
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Novelda CF
+615%
+102%
Paterna CF

ELO progression

Novelda CF
Paterna CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Novelda CF
Novelda CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2016
CRE
Crevillente Deportivo
0 - 2
Novelda CF
NOV
22%
26%
52%
39 30 9 0
23 Oct. 2016
NOV
Novelda CF
2 - 1
Recambios Colón
REC
66%
20%
14%
39 27 12 0
16 Oct. 2016
ALM
Almazora
0 - 0
Novelda CF
NOV
15%
22%
63%
39 22 17 0
12 Oct. 2016
NOV
Novelda CF
1 - 0
Ilicitano
ELC
40%
27%
34%
38 39 1 +1
09 Oct. 2016
TOR
Torre Levante
0 - 2
Novelda CF
NOV
35%
26%
39%
37 33 4 +1

Matches

Paterna CF
Paterna CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2016
RAY
Rayo Ibense
0 - 0
Paterna CF
PAT
56%
23%
21%
23 30 7 0
16 Oct. 2016
PAT
Paterna CF
1 - 5
Olimpic Xátiva
OLI
15%
27%
58%
25 46 21 -2
12 Oct. 2016
ORI
Orihuela CF
2 - 0
Paterna CF
PAT
64%
21%
16%
26 35 9 -1
09 Oct. 2016
PAT
Paterna CF
2 - 2
Villarreal C
VIL
20%
24%
56%
25 37 12 +1
02 Oct. 2016
ALM
Almoradí
1 - 2
Paterna CF
PAT
24%
24%
52%
24 18 6 +1
X