Novelda CF vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
69.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 1
NOV
67%
19%
15%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 3
ELD
9%
16%
76%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 2
RED
15%
21%
64%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 3
NOV
43%
24%
33%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
NUD
22%
21%
57%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 2
THD
42%
24%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 2
THD
29%
23%
48%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
THD
0 - 1
VIL
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 0
THD
29%
23%
48%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
THD
1 - 1
ELD
27%
22%
51%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |