Novelda CF vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
IND
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
ACE
34%
26%
40%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 0
NOV
37%
27%
36%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
VIL
50%
25%
25%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 0
NOV
34%
27%
39%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
THD
3 - 1
BEN
47%
25%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ELU
2 - 4
THD
23%
21%
57%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
THD
5 - 0
NUD
50%
22%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
THD
1 - 1
SPO
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
RED
1 - 4
THD
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |