Novara Sub 19 vs Siena Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
EMP
2 - 0
NOV
46%
24%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 3
NOV
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
3 - 1
CAG
69%
17%
14%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
NOV
4 - 0
MOD
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 2
SAM
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Siena Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 0
SIE
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 1
MOD
42%
27%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
SIE
51%
26%
23%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SIE
4 - 0
GRO
59%
23%
18%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 0
SIE
69%
19%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |