Novara vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
VAR
2 - 1
NOV
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
NOV
0 - 1
JUV
11%
23%
67%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
TER
3 - 1
NOV
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
NOV
0 - 1
COM
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1972 |
CES
5 - 1
NOV
49%
29%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
USF
1 - 1
VER
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
JUV
3 - 0
USF
87%
9%
3%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
USF
4 - 1
MOD
73%
19%
9%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
CAT
0 - 0
USF
47%
30%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1972 |
LAZ
2 - 0
USF
66%
21%
12%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |