Novara vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
PAD
1 - 2
NOV
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
NOV
2 - 0
ASS
35%
27%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
PIS
0 - 0
NOV
46%
29%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
NOV
1 - 0
USC
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2006 |
USI
1 - 0
NOV
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
PRO
2 - 0
PRO
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2006 |
PIS
1 - 0
PRO
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
PRO
0 - 2
CTT
38%
29%
34%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SAS
3 - 1
PRO
72%
19%
10%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
VNZ
5 - 0
PRO
60%
24%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |