Novara vs Pianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
ARZ
3 - 1
NOV
39%
28%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
OLB
1 - 2
NOV
24%
25%
52%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 1
COM
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
USA
1 - 0
NOV
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 0
PIS
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Pianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
PIA
1 - 4
COM
26%
25%
49%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
REN
1 - 1
PIA
62%
24%
14%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
PIA
2 - 0
PER
57%
23%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
PIS
1 - 0
PIA
58%
24%
19%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
PIA
2 - 2
OLB
36%
27%
38%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |