Novara vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
REN
1 - 0
NOV
40%
28%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 0
LEC
33%
28%
39%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
JS2
2 - 1
NOV
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 0
PRO
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
NOV
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
PIA
1 - 0
USA
35%
29%
37%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PRO
3 - 0
PIA
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
PIA
0 - 0
GER
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
REN
1 - 1
PIA
47%
27%
26%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PIA
0 - 1
LEC
41%
27%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |