Novara vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
GRO
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ABN
1 - 1
NOV
37%
29%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 0
PIA
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
REN
1 - 0
NOV
40%
28%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 0
LEC
33%
28%
39%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
PER
2 - 2
LEC
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
PER
2 - 0
CAR
42%
25%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
JS2
2 - 4
PER
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 2
PER
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PER
0 - 3
OLB
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |