Novara vs Olbia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
PIS
2 - 0
NOV
28%
25%
46%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
PRO
46%
26%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PER
2 - 0
NOV
26%
24%
49%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
PIA
3 - 3
NOV
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
GRO
1 - 1
NOV
25%
24%
52%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Olbia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
OLB
1 - 0
LEC
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
GER
0 - 0
OLB
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
OLB
2 - 2
REN
24%
27%
49%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
ABN
0 - 0
OLB
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
OLB
2 - 1
JS2
20%
24%
56%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |