Novara vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
11.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PRO
2 - 2
NOV
13%
21%
66%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 0
USC
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
USA
1 - 1
NOV
8%
19%
74%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
FER
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ASS
2 - 0
NOV
12%
21%
68%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
USA
2 - 2
PAV
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PAV
3 - 1
FER
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 1
PAV
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
PAV
5 - 3
PRO
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BV5
0 - 1
PAV
45%
26%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |