Nova Venecia vs Gremio Laranjeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.1%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Venecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
NVE
20%
26%
54%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
PIN
0 - 1
NVE
67%
19%
15%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
NVE
1 - 1
POA
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
NVE
2 - 2
VIT
55%
21%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
POA
1 - 1
NVE
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gremio Laranjeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
GEL
0 - 1
PIN
5%
11%
85%
|
16 | 68 | 52 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
VIT
5 - 0
GEL
82%
13%
5%
|
16 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
GEL
0 - 5
EST
14%
18%
68%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
GEL
2 - 1
SER
23%
23%
54%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -13 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LIN
3 - 2
GEL
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |