Nova Iguaçu vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
NOV
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VAS
5 - 1
NOV
84%
13%
4%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 0
NOV
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 0
RES
35%
28%
37%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MAD
4 - 0
NOV
61%
22%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
RES
2 - 0
FRI
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FRI
1 - 1
BAN
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
FRI
1 - 2
MAD
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 0
FRI
83%
13%
4%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FRI
0 - 0
BON
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |