Carioca 1 Copa Guanabara. Jor. 6

Nova Iguaçu vs Botafogo analysis

Nova Iguaçu Botafogo
53 ELO 69
-15.5% Tilt -10.4%
2705º General ELO ranking 57º
81º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
16.1%
Nova Iguaçu
23.7%
Draw
60.3%
Botafogo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
Nova Iguaçu
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
60.3%
Win probability
Botafogo
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nova Iguaçu
+64%
-10%
Botafogo

ELO progression

Nova Iguaçu
Botafogo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nova Iguaçu
Nova Iguaçu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2021
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
0 - 0
Portuguesa RJ
POR
46%
26%
28%
53 51 2 0
20 Mar. 2021
BOA
Boavista SC
1 - 2
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
52%
24%
24%
52 54 2 +1
13 Mar. 2021
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
2 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
12%
22%
66%
51 73 22 +1
07 Mar. 2021
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
0 - 0
Madureira RJ
MAD
54%
25%
22%
51 46 5 0
03 Mar. 2021
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
88%
10%
3%
51 89 38 0

Matches

Botafogo
Botafogo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2021
BOT
Botafogo
0 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
7%
17%
76%
69 88 19 0
21 Mar. 2021
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
52%
26%
23%
69 73 4 0
14 Mar. 2021
BAN
Bangu
0 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
10%
20%
70%
70 45 25 -1
11 Mar. 2021
MOT
Moto Club MA
0 - 5
Botafogo
BOT
11%
20%
69%
69 44 25 +1
08 Mar. 2021
BOT
Botafogo
3 - 0
Resende
RES
79%
15%
7%
69 48 21 0
X