Carioca 1 Grupo Descenso Playoffs. Jor. 1

Nova Iguaçu vs América RJ analysis

Nova Iguaçu América RJ
42 ELO 45
-8.6% Tilt -4.4%
2691º General ELO ranking 22532º
80º Country ELO ranking 569º
ELO win probability
39.8%
Nova Iguaçu
25.6%
Draw
34.6%
América RJ

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
Nova Iguaçu
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.6%
Win probability
América RJ
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nova Iguaçu
+17%
-1%
América RJ

ELO progression

Nova Iguaçu
América RJ
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nova Iguaçu
Nova Iguaçu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Feb. 2020
AME
Americano
2 - 1
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
49%
24%
27%
44 46 2 0
19 Feb. 2020
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
2 - 2
América RJ
AME
40%
26%
34%
44 45 1 0
15 Feb. 2020
FRI
Friburguense
1 - 0
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
41%
25%
34%
45 44 1 -1
08 Feb. 2020
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
0 - 4
Americano
AME
48%
25%
27%
46 44 2 -1
05 Feb. 2020
AME
América RJ
1 - 2
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
52%
23%
25%
45 47 2 +1

Matches

América RJ
América RJ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2020
AME
América RJ
0 - 1
Americano
AME
46%
25%
30%
45 46 1 0
19 Feb. 2020
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
2 - 2
América RJ
AME
40%
26%
34%
45 44 1 0
16 Feb. 2020
AME
Americano
2 - 0
América RJ
AME
44%
25%
31%
46 46 0 -1
08 Feb. 2020
AME
América RJ
2 - 2
Friburguense
FRI
54%
23%
23%
46 44 2 0
05 Feb. 2020
AME
América RJ
1 - 2
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
52%
23%
25%
47 45 2 -1
X