Nova Conquista vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
62.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 1
NCO
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GUR
1 - 3
NCO
76%
15%
9%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
NCO
2 - 0
CAP
22%
21%
57%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NCO
0 - 5
PAL
12%
18%
71%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 0
NCO
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
TOC
0 - 1
INT
41%
25%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAP
0 - 0
TOC
17%
19%
64%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
TOC
4 - 1
TMI
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
TOC
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
TOC
3 - 3
PAL
34%
25%
42%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |