Notts County vs Weymouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
NOT
4 - 1
KIN
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GUL
5 - 1
NOT
33%
26%
42%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 3
NOT
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 1
CHE
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 0
BOR
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Weymouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
WEY
0 - 0
YEO
19%
24%
58%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
MAI
2 - 0
WEY
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
WEY
0 - 0
GRI
13%
22%
65%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GUL
3 - 0
WEY
78%
14%
7%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
WOK
2 - 0
WEY
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |