EFL Cup . 1/64
Global 1-9
Notts County vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
OLD
1 - 3
NOT
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
NOT
5 - 2
ROT
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
CAM
2 - 2
NOT
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
NOT
3 - 0
GUL
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1998 |
DON
1 - 2
NOT
23%
27%
49%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
MAC
3 - 0
BPO
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
STO
2 - 5
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
MAC
2 - 2
QPR
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1998 |
MID
1 - 0
MAC
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1998 |
MAC
0 - 1
BIR
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |