Notts County vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 0
STE
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 2
NOT
73%
18%
9%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 0
WYC
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
OPA
4 - 0
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 4
EXE
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 5
HAR
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
CUM
1 - 0
HAR
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 1
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
LEY
0 - 2
HAR
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 0
AFC
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |