Notts County vs Eastleigh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
SOL
2 - 1
NOT
23%
26%
51%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 0
NOT
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
WOK
2 - 4
NOT
21%
26%
53%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
NOT
1 - 0
WRE
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
NOT
0 - 1
ALD
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
DAG
2 - 0
EAS
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
EAS
0 - 0
WOK
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 1
EAS
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
EAS
0 - 1
CHE
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
KIN
2 - 1
EAS
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |