Notts County vs Belper Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
10.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
NOT
2 - 0
GUL
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
NOT
2 - 0
DAG
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
DOV
2 - 2
NOT
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
NOT
2 - 0
FYL
34%
26%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
BOR
1 - 2
NOT
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Belper Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BEL
0 - 3
STA
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
BEL
2 - 1
RUS
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 0
STO
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
WIT
0 - 0
BEL
50%
24%
27%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
BEL
0 - 0
WIT
35%
26%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |