Notts County vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
WRE
1 - 1
NOT
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NOT
1 - 1
GUL
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 5
NOT
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SOL
2 - 2
NOT
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NOT
2 - 3
YOR
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
ALD
1 - 2
YEO
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BOR
1 - 0
ALD
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ALD
0 - 2
CHE
30%
25%
46%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SLO
1 - 2
ALD
39%
24%
38%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
HAR
0 - 0
ALD
30%
24%
47%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |