Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1990 |
ASV
1 - 1
NTT
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1990 |
LEE
3 - 1
NTT
27%
27%
47%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1990 |
PLY
1 - 2
NTT
18%
23%
59%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1990 |
NTT
1 - 2
TOT
57%
24%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
CHL
0 - 0
NTT
36%
26%
38%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1990 |
SUN
0 - 0
COV
31%
30%
39%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1990 |
SUN
1 - 1
MAC
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1990 |
DER
6 - 0
SUN
67%
19%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1990 |
ARS
1 - 0
SUN
74%
18%
9%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
SUN
2 - 0
LUT
28%
27%
46%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |