Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
WAT
2 - 0
NTT
54%
24%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
BHA
0 - 0
NTT
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
NTT
2 - 0
BUR
44%
26%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
NTT
1 - 2
HUL
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
IPS
3 - 1
NTT
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LEE
2 - 1
MID
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
LEE
1 - 5
CHL
14%
20%
66%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
LEE
2 - 0
IPS
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
DER
3 - 1
LEE
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
HUR
2 - 4
LEE
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |