Premier League . Jor. 18

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea analysis

Nottingham Forest Chelsea
81 ELO 92
-2.3% Tilt -11.5%
133º General ELO ranking 20º
21º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
13.3%
Nottingham Forest
21.3%
Draw
65.4%
Chelsea

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
Nottingham Forest
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65.4%
Win probability
Chelsea
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Nottingham Forest
Their league position
Chelsea
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
10º
20º
16º
44
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Manchester City
89
89
100%
Arsenal
84
84
100%
Manchester United
75
75
100%
Newcastle
71
71
100%
Liverpool
67
67
100%
Brighton & Hove Albion
62
62
100%
Aston Villa
61
61
100%
Tottenham Hotspur
60
60
100%
Brentford
59
59
100%
Fulham
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Crystal Palace
11º
45
45
11º
100%
Chelsea
12º
44
44
12º
100%
Wolves
13º
41
41
13º
100%
West Ham
14º
40
40
14º
100%
AFC Bournemouth
15º
39
39
15º
100%
Nottingham Forest
16º
38
38
16º
100%
Everton
17º
36
36
17º
100%
Leicester
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Leeds United
19º
31
31
19º
100%
Southampton
20º
25
25
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 2022
MUD
Manchester United
3 - 0
Nottingham Forest
NTT
74%
17%
8%
81 91 10 0
21 Dec. 2022
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 4
Nottingham Forest
NTT
40%
26%
34%
80 74 6 +1
16 Dec. 2022
VCF
Valencia
1 - 2
Nottingham Forest
NTT
66%
20%
14%
80 86 6 0
10 Dec. 2022
OLP
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest
NTT
43%
27%
30%
80 79 1 0
06 Dec. 2022
ATR
Atromitos
3 - 2
Nottingham Forest
NTT
26%
26%
48%
80 65 15 0

Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 2022
CHL
Chelsea
2 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
72%
18%
10%
92 82 10 0
11 Dec. 2022
CHL
Chelsea
0 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
71%
18%
11%
92 85 7 0
12 Nov. 2022
NEW
Newcastle
1 - 0
Chelsea
CHL
20%
24%
57%
92 86 6 0
09 Nov. 2022
MAC
Manchester City
2 - 0
Chelsea
CHL
74%
15%
11%
92 96 4 0
06 Nov. 2022
CHL
Chelsea
0 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
47%
25%
29%
93 92 1 -1
X