Notodden vs Mjøndalen IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
70.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
ODD
3 - 4
NOT
34%
22%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FRA
3 - 2
NOT
35%
24%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NOT
2 - 1
NAR
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
FKA
3 - 1
NOT
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
NOT
0 - 4
VAR
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mjøndalen IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
MJO
3 - 2
SOG
44%
25%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
MJO
3 - 0
ELP
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
RBK
1 - 0
MJO
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
MJO
1 - 0
IKS
38%
26%
37%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
HAU
1 - 1
MJO
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |