Noto vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
50.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
NOT
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 0
ROC
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 1
NOT
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 0
RAA
26%
27%
47%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
DTO
1 - 1
NOT
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAV
2 - 0
REG
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AGR
0 - 0
CAV
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAV
5 - 4
PAL
79%
12%
8%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SCO
0 - 1
CAV
17%
19%
64%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAV
0 - 1
GRA
84%
10%
6%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |