Norwich City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
NOR
1 - 3
SUN
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
NOR
2 - 2
ASV
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
NOR
2 - 0
IPS
52%
26%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
QPR
2 - 2
NOR
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1985 |
IPS
1 - 0
NOR
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
NOR
1 - 3
SUN
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1985 |
SUN
1 - 1
WAT
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
SUN
0 - 0
ARS
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1985 |
CHL
2 - 3
SUN
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
LUT
2 - 1
SUN
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |