Norwich City vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 1
COV
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
FUL
6 - 0
NOR
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 0
BIR
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
SOU
4 - 3
NOR
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 0
CHA
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
CRE
2 - 1
BUR
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
CRE
2 - 1
COV
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
IPS
5 - 1
CRE
77%
15%
9%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
CRE
0 - 2
STO
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
GIL
1 - 1
CRE
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |