Norwich City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 1
WIG
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
NOR
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 0
NOR
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CEL
2 - 0
NOR
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 3
NOR
18%
23%
59%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
BIR
2 - 1
HUR
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
LUT
0 - 0
BIR
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
BIR
2 - 2
RAY
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 0
BIR
40%
24%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ALV
4 - 2
BIR
11%
20%
69%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |