Norwich City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 1
MUD
15%
21%
65%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
TOT
3 - 0
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
NOR
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 0
WOL
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 1
SOU
31%
24%
45%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LIV
1 - 0
ASV
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ASV
2 - 1
LEI
29%
24%
47%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 2
MAC
12%
19%
70%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CRY
1 - 2
ASV
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ASV
2 - 0
BHA
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |