Northwood vs Ware analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.6%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
81.3%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
NOR
2 - 5
BED
12%
17%
72%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 4
CHE
12%
17%
71%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
WAL
5 - 2
NOR
84%
11%
6%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
NOR
0 - 1
SOU
25%
22%
54%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 1
NOR
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
WAR
2 - 1
TOO
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ASH
0 - 3
WAR
8%
15%
77%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
HAR
3 - 4
WAR
21%
20%
60%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
WAR
2 - 2
UXB
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SOU
2 - 3
WAR
18%
19%
63%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |