Northwood vs Histon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
PET
1 - 2
NOR
32%
24%
45%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 1
AYL
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AFD
3 - 1
NOR
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
NOR
3 - 2
POT
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
NOR
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
HIS
1 - 4
KID
57%
20%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
WEA
4 - 0
HIS
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
HIS
1 - 2
KEM
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
LOW
0 - 2
HIS
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
ROY
2 - 0
HIS
76%
16%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |