Northwood vs Hillingdon Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 1
NOR
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
NOR
5 - 0
WHI
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 1
NOR
54%
24%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
LFC
2 - 2
NOR
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 3
CON
52%
24%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hillingdon Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
HIL
0 - 2
MAL
19%
23%
57%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ILF
1 - 0
HIL
61%
22%
17%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
HIL
3 - 2
TIL
9%
18%
73%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | +4 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
HIL
0 - 1
AVE
9%
18%
72%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 0
HIL
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |