FA Cup 1/1024
Global 5-6Northwood vs Cray Valley PM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
56.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwood
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
09 Sep. 2023 |
RAM
3 - 0
NOR
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
05 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 0
BIN
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
02 Sep. 2023 |
BIN
2 - 2
NOR
28%
25%
47%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
28 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
4 - 1
BIN
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
19 Aug. 2023 |
BHF
0 - 1
NOR
37%
22%
41%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cray Valley PM
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
09 Sep. 2023 |
BRO
0 - 2
CRA
31%
22%
48%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
03 Sep. 2023 |
UXB
0 - 3
CRA
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
28 Aug. 2023 |
PHO
2 - 7
CRA
40%
24%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
26 Aug. 2023 |
CRA
2 - 2
BRO
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
22 Aug. 2023 |
CRA
4 - 1
LOR
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |