Northwood vs Cheshunt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
NOR
0 - 3
SAL
43%
24%
34%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
FOL
0 - 0
NOR
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
NOR
0 - 0
HAR
48%
25%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
NOR
0 - 1
KIN
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2005 |
BIL
2 - 1
NOR
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cheshunt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
CHE
0 - 1
WEA
39%
25%
37%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
BIL
4 - 1
CHE
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
CHE
2 - 4
EAS
26%
23%
51%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
HAM
2 - 1
CHE
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
HEN
2 - 1
CHE
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |